Data Centers Are Giving Downtown Real Estate a Second Life, If You Know What You’re Looking For
How AI-driven demand for compute is turning underused downtown office stock into a new asset class, and what that means for owners still waiting for offices to come back.
6 min read
Every downtown office tower I’ve underwritten in the last two years has the same problem on paper: too much vacancy, too much deferred capex, and a rent roll that assumes a return-to-office story nobody actually believes anymore. And every one of them has the same asset hiding in plain sight, risers, floor loads, and power capacity built for a much denser era of computing than most owners remember they’re sitting on.
That’s the trade I think this cycle rewards: not chasing greenfield data-center land in the exurbs, but looking hard at the office stock everyone else has already written off.
“The best compute site in a lot of downtowns is the office tower nobody wants to lease anymore.”
What actually pencils for conversion
Not every tower qualifies. The floor plates that work are the deep, column-light ones built in the 70s and 80s for trading floors and back-office operations, the same bones that make them hard to convert to housing are exactly what make them good for racks. Add existing utility feeds sized for a bigger tenant base than the building has today, and the retrofit math starts to look a lot better than a ground-up build in a market where power interconnection queues now run years long.
We’re underwriting these the same way we underwrite everything else on the platform: what’s the downside if the AI-infrastructure demand curve is wrong, and does the site still have value as office, storage, or light industrial if it is? A tower with real bones answers that question. A speculative shell in a market with no fiber backbone doesn’t.
The second life is the point
Cities need these buildings to do something other than sit half-empty. An occupied compute facility still pays property tax, still employs security and facilities staff, and still anchors foot traffic for the ground-floor retail that’s been struggling since 2020. It’s not the office tower it was built to be, but it’s not a write-off either. That’s the second life, and I think it’s a bigger part of this decade’s real estate story than most of the industry is pricing in yet.
